Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion
For Tuesday, April 14, 2026
09:00 UTC
FORECASTER - Duty Forecaster
NOWCAST: (Today and tonight)
High pressure building into the area from the north allowed for
easing ENE`ly winds. Extensive areas of marine stratocu with trace
amounts of rainfall visible on radar imagery linger over us this
morning as a result of trapped low level moisture travelling around
the edge of the high. A cloudy start gradually brightens as cloud
cover dissipates into the afternoon for settled and sunny outlook.
Models show good agreement, allowing a blended forecast approach.
No precipitation is expected during the period as model profiles
remain dry and stable thanks to the elongated high to our near-north.
Light to moderate near ENE`ly winds ease light at times. Moderate
seas continue to gradually diminish slight to moderate, matching
OPC well.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.
AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected throughout the period. Winds
040-080 4-9 knots may become variable in direction at times. For
more information visit: http://weather.bm/aviation/
SHORT TERM FORECAST: Wednesday through Thursday
An elongated area of high pressure remains anchored to our near-north
throughout the period, allowing mostly light near-E`ly winds to gradually
veer towards the S, becoming light and variable at times. Weak inverted
troughing to the south attempts to press into the area, increasing
cloud cover at times, with 1 or 2 showers developing in the area
as a result. Any impacts are expected to be minimal as High pressure
persists to the north. Model show increasing agreement, allowing
a blended forecast approach to be maintained. QPFs show trace amounts
of rainfall expected, likely to be evident as a few cloudy spells.
Near average temperatures persist throughout. Seas continue to diminish
towards mostly slight.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.
LONG TERM FORECAST: Friday through Saturday
Whilst mostly settled conditions persist, inverted troughing becomes
more pronounced on Friday with increasingly cloudy skies developing.
Faint upper troughing passes overhead during the long term, which
helps to weaken high pressure overhead during the period. Cloudy
spells and a few more showers develop within the area thanks to nearby
convergence and the potential for a few home-grown showers resulting
from Morgan`s Cloud and/or island streamers within a S-SSW`ly light
wind. Model QPFs show a few mm`s of rainfall expected during this
time, although this may be more significant in isolated areas. Marginal
instability gives the slight chance of thunder in association with
convergence on Saturday. Although high pressure weakens, it remains
dominant and the increased moisture/humidity allows for temperatures
to increase with a high near 24°C/75°F currently progged. Mainly
slight seas persist throughout.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None currently expected.