Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion

For Tuesday, April 14, 2026  09:00 UTC

FORECASTER - Duty Forecaster 

NOWCAST: (Today and tonight)
High pressure building into the area from the north allowed for 
easing ENE`ly winds. Extensive areas of marine stratocu with trace 
amounts of rainfall visible on radar imagery linger over us this 
morning as a result of trapped low level moisture travelling around 
the edge of the high. A cloudy start gradually brightens as cloud 
cover dissipates into the afternoon for settled and sunny outlook. 
Models show good agreement, allowing a blended forecast approach. 
No precipitation is expected during the period as model profiles 
remain dry and stable thanks to the elongated high to our near-north. 
Light to moderate near ENE`ly winds ease light at times. Moderate 
seas continue to gradually diminish slight to moderate, matching 
OPC well. 
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.
AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected throughout the period. Winds 
040-080 4-9 knots may become variable in direction at times. For 
more information visit: http://weather.bm/aviation/

SHORT TERM FORECAST: Wednesday through Thursday
 An elongated area of high pressure remains anchored to our near-north 
throughout the period, allowing mostly light near-E`ly winds to gradually 
veer towards the S, becoming light and variable at times. Weak inverted 
troughing to the south attempts to press into the area, increasing 
cloud cover at times, with 1 or 2 showers developing in the area 
as a result. Any impacts are expected to be minimal as High pressure 
persists to the north. Model show increasing agreement, allowing 
a blended forecast approach to be maintained. QPFs show trace amounts 
of rainfall expected, likely to be evident as a few cloudy spells. 
Near average temperatures persist throughout. Seas continue to diminish 
towards mostly slight.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.

LONG TERM FORECAST: Friday through Saturday
Whilst mostly settled conditions persist, inverted troughing becomes 
more pronounced on Friday with increasingly cloudy skies developing. 
Faint upper troughing passes overhead during the long term, which 
helps to weaken high pressure overhead during the period. Cloudy 
spells and a few more showers develop within the area thanks to nearby 
convergence and the potential for a few home-grown showers resulting 
from Morgan`s Cloud and/or island streamers within a S-SSW`ly light 
wind. Model QPFs show a few mm`s of rainfall expected during this 
time, although this may be more significant in isolated areas. Marginal 
instability gives the slight chance of thunder in association with 
convergence on Saturday. Although high pressure weakens, it remains 
dominant and the increased moisture/humidity allows for temperatures 
to increase with a high near 24°C/75°F currently progged. Mainly 
slight seas persist throughout.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None currently expected.