Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion

For Saturday, June 13, 2026  09:00 UTC

FORECASTER - Lawrence Doughty 

NOWCAST: (Today and tonight)
High pressure centered to the distant SE remains the dominant feature 
as occasionally thick cirrus continues to stream into the area from 
the north. A moderate WSW値y breeze becomes increasingly humid, allowing 
near-average temperatures to develop over the holiday weekend. Isolated 
showers, visible on radar imagery remain distant but models suggest 
the chance of a brief sprinkle, especially when coupled with local 
effects and/or daytime heating. Despite occasionally cloudy spells, 
mostly fine and dry weather is expected into Sunday as upper ridging 
helps to sustain anticyclonic flow at the surface. Moderate WSW値y 
winds persist into Sunday. Slight to moderate seas persist.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.
AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected to persist throughout the 
period. RWY 30 is expected to remain active with winds 220-270 9-17 
knots increasing slightly towards the end of the period. For more 
information visit: http://weather.bm/aviation/

SHORT TERM FORECAST: Sunday through Monday
 A robust Omega-block in the northern Atlantic creates a somewhat 
stagnant synoptic pattern through the short term as the Bermuda-Azores 
High holds firm to maintain a moderate WSW値y breeze, maintaining 
mostly dry conditions throughout, although weak surface troughing 
may send the odd sprinkle into our area, particularly early and late. 
Model QPFs remain trace, with layer cloud thickening at times on 
Sunday, before dissipating to allow extensive sunshine on Monday. 
Moderate WSW値y winds ease slightly into Monday, before backing SW値y 
during National Heroes Day. Increasing humidity allows local temperatures 
to increase with Monday progged to be the hottest day of 2026 so 
far with a high near 28ーC/82ーF. Slight to moderate seas remain throughout.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None anticipated.

LONG TERM FORECAST: Tuesday through Wednesday
 Persistent anticyclonic flow aloft allows the BDA-Azores High to 
remain in place over the central Atlantic through the long term. 
A meandering frontal boundary to the north causes a pressure gradient 
squeeze, maintaining moderate SW値y winds as seen in the latest marine 
charts. The chance of sporadic shower activity increases slightly 
as weak convergence/troughing presses in, although model QPFs remain 
trace with only the GFS suggesting 1-2mm痴. Therefore, a blended 
forecast approach has been maintained. Winds are currently expected 
to remain moderate and back SSW値y on Wednesday, although the UK 
currently suggests marginally strong winds may develop at times on 
Wednesday. Slight to moderate seas remain throughout.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None currently expected. Slight 
chance of a SCW for marginally strong winds on Wednesday.
TROPICAL UPDATE
You can also visit  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&basin=atlc&fdays=7 
for the latest outlook from the NHC.